Meta forecasts that its generative AI products will rake in $2 billion to $3 billion in revenue this year, and between $460 billion and $1.4 trillion by 2035, according to court documents.
I suspect it’s more likely that Meta won’t exist in any recognizable way in 2035 than anyone makes a huge profit on A.I. in the next decade. There will be advancements, to be sure, and compute will (hopefully) get cheaper and more efficient but 2035 seems like an Elon-Musk-level optimistic timeline.
I’m sort of agnostic on A.I. I don’t like it for much now but certainly see its potential. But look how long it took for The Internet to be universally adopted. And that’s assuming researchers even can solve the really hard last 20% of problems.
I suspect it’s more likely that Meta won’t exist in any recognizable way in 2035 than anyone makes a huge profit on A.I. in the next decade. There will be advancements, to be sure, and compute will (hopefully) get cheaper and more efficient but 2035 seems like an Elon-Musk-level optimistic timeline.
I’m sort of agnostic on A.I. I don’t like it for much now but certainly see its potential. But look how long it took for The Internet to be universally adopted. And that’s assuming researchers even can solve the really hard last 20% of problems.
But someone smarter than me once put it better:
https://xkcd.com/678/